PLATFORM CLAIM VS CAUSAL
+698% BIAS
--
causal convs
Claimed by ad networks:
--
INCREMENTAL CAC
DEFENSIBLE
--
per Pro upgrade
Claimed blended CAC:
--
MARGINAL ROAS
6M LTV BASIS
--
return ratio
Calibrated via adstock carryover & Hill saturation
EST. PAYBACK PERIOD
$25 MRR TIER
--
months
Project unit economics recovery timeline
Attribution Triangulation by Channel
Comparing Platform Claims vs MTA (First/Last Touch) vs Causal MMM
Hill Function Saturation & Diminishing Returns
Model: S² / (K² + S²), Half-Saturation K = $2,500
Developer Project Retention Decay Waterfall
Weekly Cohort Survivability (Day 7 vs Day 30 Retention & Paid Conversion %)
Live API Ingestion Telemetry
Live Free APIs
Supabase GitHub Stars:
109,204
GitHub Forks:
13,765
Open Issues:
1,139
Top Hacker News Developer Buzz:
Ingested via:
GitHub + Algolia + Frankfurter
Daily Triangulation Explorer
Filter and audit multi-channel reconciliation telemetry
| Date | Channel | Spend (USD) | Platform Claim | MTA First | MTA Last | Causal MMM | Platform Bias % | Inc. CAC |
|---|